AMC 8 · 2003 · #12

Grade 7 probability
probability-basicdivisibility-rulesprime-factorizationcomplementary-countingsystematic-enumeration systematic-enumerationcaseworkcomplementary-counting ↑ Prerequisites: probability-basicdivisibility-rulesfraction-arithmetic
📏 Medium solution 💡 3 insights

Problem

When a fair six-sided dice is tossed on a table top, the bottom face cannot be seen. What is the probability that the product of the faces that can be seen is divisible by 66?

Pick an answer.

(A)
1/3
(B)
1/2
(C)
2/3
(D)
5/6
(E)
1
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Toolkit + CCSS Solution

Understand

Restated: A fair standard six-sided die is tossed onto a table. One face — the bottom — is hidden, and the other five faces are visible. What is the probability that the product of the five visible numbers is divisible by $6$?

Givens: A standard die has faces $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$; Exactly one face (the bottom) is hidden after a toss; The other five faces are visible; Each face is equally likely to be the bottom (die is fair); Answer choices: (A) $1/3$, (B) $1/2$, (C) $2/3$, (D) $5/6$, (E) $1$

Unknowns: The probability that the product of the five visible faces is divisible by $6$

Understand

Restated: A fair standard six-sided die is tossed onto a table. One face — the bottom — is hidden, and the other five faces are visible. What is the probability that the product of the five visible numbers is divisible by $6$?

Givens: A standard die has faces $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}$; Exactly one face (the bottom) is hidden after a toss; The other five faces are visible; Each face is equally likely to be the bottom (die is fair); Answer choices: (A) $1/3$, (B) $1/2$, (C) $2/3$, (D) $5/6$, (E) $1$

Plan

Primary tool: #11 Find an Invariant

Secondary: #7 Identify Subproblems

There are only $6$ possible outcomes (one for each face being hidden), so we could check them one by one. But Tool #11 (Find an Invariant) gives a shorter path: ask whether the divisibility-by-$6$ status of the visible product is the same for every outcome. Tool #7 (Identify Subproblems) splits "divisible by $6$" into the two independent questions "divisible by $2$?" and "divisible by $3$?". If both answers stay "yes" no matter which face hides, the probability is forced to $1$.

Execute — Answer: E

#7 Identify Subproblems 4.OA.B.4 Step 1
  • Use Tool #7 to split the goal.
  • The product is divisible by $6$ exactly when it is divisible by $2$ and by $3$.
  • So replace one hard question with two easier ones.
$$\text{Product divisible by } 6 \iff \text{divisible by } 2 \text{ AND divisible by } 3$$

💡 Grade 4 factor-pair thinking: $6 = 2 \times 3$, and these two primes are independent factors.

#11 Find an Invariant 4.OA.B.4 Step 2
  • Subproblem A — is the product always divisible by $2$?
  • The even faces of the die are $\{2, 4, 6\}$ — three of them.
  • The hidden face is just one face, so at most one even number can be hidden.
  • That leaves at least two even numbers visible, so the product picks up a factor of $2$ no matter which face hides.
$$|\{2, 4, 6\}| = 3 \;\Rightarrow\; \text{at least } 3 - 1 = 2 \text{ evens visible}$$

💡 You cannot hide three things by removing only one — the count of evens is the invariant that protects the factor of $2$.

#11 Find an Invariant 4.OA.B.4 Step 3
  • Subproblem B — is the product always divisible by $3$?
  • The multiples of $3$ on the die are $\{3, 6\}$ — two of them.
  • Only one face hides, so at most one of $3$ or $6$ can be missing.
  • At least one stays visible, so the product always picks up a factor of $3$.
$$|\{3, 6\}| = 2 \;\Rightarrow\; \text{at least } 2 - 1 = 1 \text{ multiple of } 3 \text{ visible}$$

💡 Same idea: you cannot hide two faces with one bottom slot, so a multiple of $3$ always survives.

#11 Find an Invariant 7.SP.C.5 Step 4
  • Combine the subproblems.
  • Every outcome keeps a factor of $2$ and a factor of $3$, so every outcome's product is divisible by $6$.
  • The favourable count equals the total count, so the probability is $1$.
$$P = \dfrac{\text{favourable outcomes}}{\text{total outcomes}} = \dfrac{6}{6} = 1 \;\Rightarrow\; \textbf{(E)}$$

💡 Grade 7 probability: a certain event has probability $1$. Both subproblems are certain, so the combined event is certain too.

[1] #7 4.OA.B.4 Use Tool #7 to split the goal. The product is divisible by $6$ exactly when it i
[2] #11 4.OA.B.4 Subproblem A — is the product always divisible by $2$? The even faces of the die
[3] #11 4.OA.B.4 Subproblem B — is the product always divisible by $3$? The multiples of $3$ on t
[4] #11 7.SP.C.5 Combine the subproblems. Every outcome keeps a factor of $2$ and a factor of $3$

Review

Reasonableness: Spot-check the two riskiest outcomes — the ones where we lose a needed prime. Hide the $6$: visible faces are $\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5\}$, product $= 120 = 6 \times 20$. Hide the $3$: visible faces are $\{1, 2, 4, 5, 6\}$, product $= 240 = 6 \times 40$. Both pass. Every other hidden face leaves both $3$ and $6$ visible, which is even safer. All $6$ cases work, so $P = 1$ matches (E). The trap choices $1/3, 1/2, 2/3, 5/6$ are what you would compute if you forgot that hiding one face cannot remove all three evens or both multiples of $3$.

Alternative: Tool #2 (Make a List): enumerate the six outcomes directly. Hide $1$: product $720$. Hide $2$: $360$. Hide $3$: $240$. Hide $4$: $180$. Hide $5$: $144$. Hide $6$: $120$. Every product is a multiple of $6$, so $P = 6/6 = 1$. Same answer (E), reached by brute force instead of by the invariant argument.

CCSS standards used (min grade 7)

  • 4.OA.B.4 Find all factor pairs for a whole number and identify factors and multiples (Recognizing $6 = 2 \times 3$ and identifying the even faces $\{2, 4, 6\}$ and the multiples of $3$ $\{3, 6\}$ on the die.)
  • 7.SP.C.5 Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1, with 1 indicating a certain event (Concluding that because every one of the $6$ outcomes yields a product divisible by $6$, the event is certain and its probability is $1$.)

⭐ Only one face hides, and the die has three evens and two multiples of $3$ — too many to wipe out with a single hidden face. So the product is always divisible by $6$, and the probability is $1$.

⭐ Only one face hides, and the die has three evens and two multiples of $3$ — too many to wipe out with a single hidden face. So the product is always divisible by $6$, and the probability is $1$.